Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers handed the Chicago White Sox a 5-2 defeat at Guaranteed Rate Field on August 23, 2024, holding a Chicago offense that the DiamondIQ model had given just a 28 percent chance of winning before the first pitch, and that probability fell to zero by the final out. Detroit scored in the first and second innings to establish an early advantage, but Chicago answered with a run in the second and another in the fourth to briefly keep the game within reach. The decisive blow came in the top of the seventh, when Colt Keith singled off Justin Anderson to shift win probability by 12.0 percent in Detroit's favor, and Matt Vierling followed with another single off Anderson that moved the needle an additional 10.6 percent, effectively putting the game away with a two-run frame that pushed the Tigers' lead to 5-2.

On the Chicago side, Korey Lee provided the game's single biggest positive swing with a fourth-inning double off Keider Montero that added 15.6 percent in win probability for the home team, representing the White Sox's best and ultimately fleeting opportunity to shift momentum. Dominic Fletcher absorbed two of the game's most damaging outs from a Chicago perspective, a flyout in the fourth that cost the White Sox 8.4 percent in win probability and a strikeout in the eighth off Shelby Miller that drained another 7.4 percent from their chances. Chris Flexen was the standout performer of the night, finishing with a WPA of plus-26.7 percent to lead all pitchers, while Miller and Will Vest contributed plus-13.3 and plus-12.2 percent respectively in relief. Detroit finished with ten hits and committed no errors, while Chicago stranded its nine hits largely without consequence.