MLB Recap · August 23, 2024

Milwaukee Brewers at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

MIL11
Final
OAK3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL05020000411141
OAK100200000362

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers rolled to an 11-3 victory over the Oakland Athletics at Oakland Coliseum on August 23, 2024, a result that was never seriously in doubt after the Brewers broke the game open with a five-run second inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest giving Oakland a 39% chance of winning at home, but that figure collapsed quickly and finished at 0% by game's end. Milwaukee finished with 14 hits against just 6 for the Athletics, who committed 2 errors to compound their troubles across the nine innings.

The decisive moment came in the top of the second when Rhys Hoskins connected on a home run off JP Sears, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 11.4 percentage points in Milwaukee's favor and served as the centerpiece of that five-run frame. Oakland briefly generated some life in the bottom of the fourth, where Zack Gelof drew a walk off Aaron Civale to add plus 7.6 percentage points from the Athletics' perspective, followed by a Darell Hernaiz walk worth plus 7.3 points, but those threats were ultimately contained. Lawrence Butler's flyout in the second had already drained 6.7 percentage points from Oakland's chances, and Max Schuemann's strikeout to end the fourth cost the Athletics another 6.1 points, effectively ending any realistic path back into the game. Milwaukee added four insurance runs in the ninth to finalize the margin.

Among the game's top individual performers by the DiamondIQ model's estimates, Zack Gelof led all players with plus 10.1% WPA despite a negative RE24 of minus 0.4, reflecting his role in sustaining Oakland's brief fourth-inning rally. Rhys Hoskins posted plus 9.6% WPA alongside a strong plus 2.5 RE24, affirming his home run as the game's most consequential offensive act. Jackson Chourio contributed plus 7.1% WPA and plus 1.0 RE24 to support the Brewers' cause, while on the mound Bryan Hudson led Milwaukee's relievers with plus 8.3% WPA, followed by Ross Stripling at plus 4.5% and Joel Payamps at plus 3.6%, as the bullpen kept Oakland firmly in check through the final innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalOAK win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 38.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Rhys Hoskins Home Run
Top 2nd · off JP Sears
+11.4%
Zack Gelof Walk
Bot 4th · off Aaron Civale
+7.6%
Bot 4th · off Aaron Civale
+7.3%
Lawrence Butler Flyout
Bot 2nd · off Aaron Civale
-6.7%
Max Schuemann Strikeout
Bot 4th · off Aaron Civale
-6.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Zack Gelof+10.1%-0.4 RE24
Rhys Hoskins+9.6%+2.5 RE24
Jackson Chourio+7.1%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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