Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals defeated the Colorado Rockies 8-3 at Nationals Park on August 22, 2024, in a game that was largely decided by the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model entered with a 63% home win probability and closed at 100% as Washington pulled away with crooked numbers in the third, sixth, and eighth frames. The Nationals finished with 11 hits against Colorado's 6, and neither team committed an error.

The game's most consequential moment came in the bottom of the third, when James Wood singled off Cal Quantrill to swing win probability 17.2 points in Washington's favor, the largest single-play shift of the contest. Colorado briefly responded in the top of the sixth when Brenton Doyle connected on a home run off Patrick Corbin, a swing worth plus-11.5 win probability for the Rockies and the highlight of a two-run inning that briefly kept the game within reach. Washington answered immediately in the bottom half, with Keibert Ruiz doubling off Lucas Gilbreath to extend the lead and add 10.2 points of win probability for the home side. The Nationals then added three more in the eighth to close out the scoring at 8-3. Colorado's best opportunity in the fourth was squandered when Nolan Jones grounded into a double play off Corbin, a sequence that erased 17.2 points of Rockies win probability in a single at-bat.

Wood led all players by WPA at plus-19.0, pairing that with a plus-0.3 RE24, while Doyle finished second among position players despite his team's loss at plus-9.5 WPA and plus-0.4 RE24. On the mound, Corbin paced all pitchers with a plus-10.3 WPA contribution despite surrendering the Doyle home run, reflecting his overall effectiveness in limiting Colorado's offense through a pivotal stretch of the game.