Chicago White Sox at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
The Story
The Chicago White Sox erased a significant pregame deficit in the win-probability standings and beat the San Francisco Giants 6-2 at Oracle Park on August 21, 2024, completing a game the DiamondIQ model had forecast as a 79% Giants victory before first pitch. The White Sox scored once in the first inning, conceded two runs to San Francisco in the fourth, and then remained scoreless through the eighth before an explosive four-run ninth inning sealed the outcome. Chicago finished with eight hits and committed no errors, while San Francisco managed six hits and one error across the nine innings.
The decisive sequence came in the top of the ninth, where the DiamondIQ model's estimate swung dramatically in Chicago's favor. Korey Lee's single off Spencer Bivens carried the largest win-probability impact of the game, a shift of plus 41.5 percentage points, and stood as the pivotal moment of the rally. Gavin Sheets briefly halted the momentum with a strikeout against Erik Miller that cost the White Sox 20.8 percentage points, but Andrew Vaughn followed with a single off Miller that added another 13.0 points, helping Chicago push four runs across. San Francisco had its own opportunities earlier, but Heliot Ramos grounded into a double play in the first inning off Garrett Crochet, a play that shifted win probability 10.9 points against the Giants, and Thairo Estrada lined out in the second for a comparable 10.6-point swing.
Among individual contributors, Korey Lee finished as the top offensive performer by the model's accounting, posting a WPA of plus 34.3 and an RE24 of plus 0.4, while Andrew Vaughn added plus 19.7 WPA and Luis Robert Jr. contributed plus 15.8 WPA with the game's best RE24 among batters at plus 0.7. On the pitching side, Logan Webb led Giants starters with plus 16.2 WPA despite the loss, and Chicago's Garrett Crochet posted plus 12.5 WPA, benefiting largely from his run suppression in the early innings. Chad Kuhl contributed plus 13.3 WPA in relief to help Chicago hold the lead through the middle frames before the ninth-inning burst rendered the result final.