San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies defeated the San Diego Padres 3-2 at Coors Field on August 18, 2024, completing a comeback that saw Colorado enter the game as a 35% favorite according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate, yet close it out at 100%. The Rockies scored first in the third inning on an Aaron Schunk double off Joe Musgrove, then added their decisive two-run burst in the sixth when Brenton Doyle tripled off Bryan Hoeing and Sam Hilliard followed with a groundout off Yuki Matsui to plate what proved to be the winning run. San Diego answered in the fourth on a David Peralta double off Bradley Blalock and pulled within one in the eighth on a Manny Machado home run off Tyler Kinley, a swing that added 14.7 percentage points of win probability for the Padres, but Colorado held on for the final out.

On the offensive side, Aaron Schunk led all players with a WPA of plus-15.7 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.4, his third-inning double carrying a win-probability swing of plus-12.4 percent and setting the tone for Colorado's offense. Brenton Doyle contributed a WPA of plus-13.6 percent, his sixth-inning triple registering a plus-12.0 percent swing, while Sam Hilliard finished at plus-12.1 percent WPA as his run-producing groundout added 12.9 percentage points to Colorado's chances. On the mound, Bradley Blalock led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-19.2 percent despite surrendering the Peralta double, followed by Victor Vodnik at plus-15.2 percent and Angel Chivilli at plus-13.6 percent, as the Colorado bullpen collectively preserved a lead the Rockies built on timely hitting and efficient contact throughout the contest.