MLB Recap · August 18, 2024

Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

CLE0
Final
MIL2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CLE000000000020
MIL11000000-260

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers shut out the Cleveland Guardians 2-0 on August 18, 2024, at American Family Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 54 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Milwaukee scored both of its runs early, plating one in the first inning and another in the second, and then held that margin through seven innings of zeroes. Cleveland finished with just two hits on the night, leaving the Guardians with little room to manufacture any threat against a Brewers pitching staff that consistently retired hitters in sequence.

The closest Cleveland came to shifting the game's trajectory arrived in the top of the eighth, when Jhonkensy Noel was hit by a pitch from Colin Rea, a play that registered a win-probability swing of plus 7.1 percent in the Guardians' favor. That momentum proved short-lived, however, as Bryan Hudson entered and quickly extinguished the rally. Tyler Freeman struck out for a swing of minus 6.3 percent, and David Fry lined out for another minus 5.3 percent shift, collectively erasing whatever opening Cleveland had created. Earlier, Milwaukee's own offensive opportunities were squandered when William Contreras grounded into a double play in the third inning off Ben Lively, costing the Brewers 5.2 percent in win probability, and Rhys Hoskins struck out in the fourth for a 5.1 percent drop, though those miscues ultimately had no bearing on the outcome.

On the individual side, Colin Rea led all players with a plus 28.2 percent WPA contribution from the mound, anchoring the Brewers' collective pitching effort. Bryan Hudson added plus 15.2 percent despite the brief scare in the eighth, and Jared Koenig contributed plus 6.3 percent. Offensively, Jhonkensy Noel paced all batters with a plus 10.0 percent WPA and plus 0.7 RE24 despite Cleveland's loss, while Milwaukee's Brice Turang posted a plus 6.2 percent WPA and plus 1.2 RE24 to lead the Brewers' position players in combined impact.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CLE bats firstFinalMIL win %CLE win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jhonkensy Noel Hit By Pitch
Top 8th · off Colin Rea
+7.1%
Tyler Freeman Strikeout
Top 8th · off Bryan Hudson
-6.3%
David Fry Lineout
Top 8th · off Bryan Hudson
-5.3%
William Contreras Grounded Into DP
Bot 3rd · off Ben Lively
-5.2%
Rhys Hoskins Strikeout
Bot 4th · off Ben Lively
-5.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Jhonkensy Noel+10.0%+0.7 RE24
Brice Turang+6.2%+1.2 RE24
Garrett Mitchell+2.3%+0.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →