Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| SF | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | 6 | 10 | 1 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants shut out the Atlanta Braves 6-0 at Oracle Park on August 15, 2024, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 51 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by game's end. San Francisco spread its scoring across the second, sixth, and seventh innings, finishing with 10 hits while Atlanta managed just four across nine frames.
The decisive shift in win probability came in the bottom of the sixth, when Casey Schmitt delivered a home run off Jesse Chavez that added 12.6 percent to the Giants' win probability, the single largest swing of the game. Atlanta's best chances to generate offense were repeatedly extinguished by Logan Webb, whose night included two of the game's most damaging plays for the Braves. In the fourth inning, a Matt Olson double play swung win probability 10.3 percent against Atlanta, and a Ramón Laureano groundout into a double play in the third had already cost the Braves 8.1 percent. An Austin Riley fielder's choice in the fourth added another 6.4 percent against Atlanta's chances.
Schmitt led all batters with a WPA of plus 16.4 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.8, while Grant McCray contributed plus 10.5 percent WPA and plus 1.8 RE24, his second-inning single off Max Fried accounting for 6.6 percent of that total. Webb was the story on the mound, finishing with a plus 28.5 percent WPA as the DiamondIQ model's top performer of the game, systematically dismantling Atlanta's lineup while the Giants offense built an insurmountable cushion.