Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks handled the Colorado Rockies convincingly at Chase Field on August 14, 2024, winning 11-4 to close out a game the DiamondIQ model had already projected heavily in Arizona's favor at 73% pre-game home win probability, a figure that reached 100% by the final out. The Diamondbacks struck early when Joc Pederson doubled off Tanner Gordon in the bottom of the first, a play that added 4.3% to Arizona's win probability and set the tone for a night when the home side rarely felt threatened. Colorado managed a brief foothold in the sixth inning when Michael Toglia's double off Jordan Montgomery pushed the Rockies' win probability up by 6.9%, representing the visiting club's best moment of the game, but Sam Hilliard's subsequent strikeout swung momentum back the other way by 4.5%, effectively ending any realistic Colorado rally.

The decisive blow came later in that same sixth frame when Eugenio Suárez connected for a home run off Riley Pint, a swing that added 9.0% to Arizona's win probability in a single at-bat and served as the signature moment of the evening. Suárez finished as the game's standout performer by a wide margin, posting a WPA of plus 15.2% and an RE24 of plus 5.9 per the DiamondIQ model's estimates. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. contributed as well, finishing with a WPA of plus 5.5% and an RE24 of plus 1.3. Colorado's errors, three on the night against Arizona's one, compounded their offensive struggles and helped Arizona's nine hits translate into eleven runs across a line that showed the Diamondbacks scoring in six of the nine innings played.