Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| DET | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - | 15 | 20 | 0 |
The Story
The Detroit Tigers handed the Seattle Mariners a thorough 15-1 defeat at Comerica Park on August 13, 2024, a game that was effectively decided by the fourth inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest with a near-even 49% home win probability for Detroit, but that figure climbed steadily toward 100% as the Tigers piled up 20 hits against a Seattle pitching staff that had no answers.
The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the third inning, where the Tigers broke the game open against George Kirby. Jake Rogers delivered a double that shifted win probability by plus-10.1%, and Kerry Carpenter followed with a home run worth another plus-9.9%, the two plays representing the largest single swings of the game. Carpenter was not finished. He hit a second home run off Kirby in the bottom of the fourth for an additional plus-6.2% swing, cementing his status as the night's most destructive force. Seattle's best chance to chip into the deficit evaporated in the top of the fourth when Julio Rodriguez grounded into a double play off Tarik Skubal, a sequence the DiamondIQ model assessed as a minus-7.5% swing against the Mariners.
Carpenter finished as the game's top offensive contributor by a wide margin, posting plus-15.3% WPA and a plus-2.3 RE24, while Rogers added plus-10.7% WPA and a team-best plus-5.2 RE24. Bligh Madris also factored in with plus-7.2% WPA and plus-2.0 RE24. On the pitching side, Tarik Skubal was equally dominant, accumulating plus-11.9% WPA as he kept Seattle's lineup largely in check, with Mitch Garver's flyout in the second one of the few notable moments of resistance the Mariners could muster.