MLB Recap · August 10, 2024

Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

DET1
Final
SF3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
DET000010000152
SF00003000-360

The Story

The San Francisco Giants defeated the Detroit Tigers 3-1 on August 10, 2024, at Oracle Park, with all four runs scoring in a decisive fifth inning that transformed a scoreless game into a settled outcome. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with San Francisco holding a 59 percent pre-game win probability and closed at 100 percent, the entire swing concentrated in that one chaotic frame.

Detroit briefly seized momentum in the top of the fifth when Parker Meadows lashed a triple off Logan Webb, a hit that added 8.8 percent in win probability for the Tigers, and Dillon Dingler followed with a fielder's choice that drove him in for a 6.7 percent swing, giving Detroit a temporary 1-0 lead. San Francisco answered immediately and emphatically in the bottom half against Brant Hurter. Brett Wisely doubled for a 14.1 percent win-probability swing, the single largest of the game, and Heliot Ramos followed with a single worth 12.9 percent, putting the Giants in front. Jerar Encarnacion added another single for a further 6.3 percent swing, and by the time the inning concluded San Francisco had scored three runs and effectively ended the competitive portion of the contest.

Ramos was the game's top offensive performer, finishing with a 12.5 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24, while Wisely contributed 11.0 percent WPA despite a modest plus-0.3 RE24, reflecting how situationally critical his double proved. Meadows was Detroit's most impactful bat at plus-6.7 percent WPA. On the mound, Logan Webb dominated the evening's win-probability ledger at plus-18.5 percent, with Tyler Rogers adding plus-8.1 percent and Ryan Walker contributing plus-6.3 percent in support. Detroit's defense was charged with two errors against none for San Francisco, a disparity that underscored the cleaner execution from the home side.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalSF win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 58.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brett Wisely Double
Bot 5th · off Brant Hurter
+14.1%
Heliot Ramos Single
Bot 5th · off Brant Hurter
+12.9%
Parker Meadows Triple
Top 5th · off Logan Webb
+8.8%
Dillon Dingler Fielders Choice
Top 5th · off Logan Webb
+6.7%
Bot 5th · off Brant Hurter
+6.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Heliot Ramos+12.5%+1.5 RE24
Brett Wisely+11.0%+0.3 RE24
Parker Meadows+6.7%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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