Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants edged the Detroit Tigers 3-2 at Oracle Park on August 9, 2024, completing a comeback that unfolded almost entirely in the game's final innings. Detroit had built its modest lead through a second-inning run and another in the fifth, and that advantage held until San Francisco finally broke through with single runs in the seventh, eighth, and ninth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring San Francisco at 58% and closed at 100% after the Giants' walk-off in the bottom of the ninth.
The decisive sequence came in that final frame against Jason Foley and Shelby Miller. Michael Conforto worked a walk off Foley that shifted win probability by 10.5%, and a hit by pitch to Matt Chapman added another 12.0 percentage points, loading the bases and setting the stage. Mike Yastrzemski's forceout briefly cost the Giants 10.0% in win probability, but Mark Canha delivered the decisive blow, a sacrifice fly off Miller that ended the game and carried a win-probability swing of plus 15.9%. Brett Wisely's single off Kenta Maeda in the eighth, worth 10.4% in win probability, was also pivotal in keeping San Francisco's rally alive a half-inning earlier.
Among individual standouts, Canha finished with the highest batting WPA on the night at plus 17.8%, while Heliot Ramos contributed plus 12.6% and Andy Ibáñez added plus 11.7% despite playing for the losing side. On the pitching staff, Beau Brieske led all pitchers with a plus 17.0% WPA, followed by Tyler Rogers at plus 13.5% and Landen Roupp at plus 11.6%, a trio that kept Detroit off the board long enough for the Giants offense to complete its late surge.