Chicago White Sox at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 2 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins defeated the Chicago White Sox 7-4 on July 7, 2024, at loanDepot Park, with a four-run bottom of the ninth inning turning a one-run deficit into a decisive home win. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Miami at 62% and closed at 100% after the late rally was complete.
The game's two most consequential plays came back-to-back in the ninth inning against White Sox reliever Michael Kopech. With Miami trailing, Josh Bell laced a double that swung win probability by plus-44.4 percentage points, the single biggest batting play of the night, before Jake Burger followed with a home run that added another plus-37.4 percentage points and put the Marlins ahead for good. Those two swings effectively decided the outcome. Earlier, Danny Mendick had given Chicago momentum with a fourth-inning home run off Edward Cabrera that shifted win probability plus-21.5 points, and a Bryan De La Cruz flyout in the bottom of the eighth represented a missed opportunity for Miami, costing the home side 18.7 percentage points at a critical juncture.
Bell finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus-45.9 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.1, while Mendick posted the highest RE24 among all batters at plus-2.1 to go with plus-28.7 percent WPA. Vidal Bruján also contributed meaningfully at plus-26.3 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24. On the mound, Jonathan Cannon and John Brebbia paced Miami's pitching staff, each adding over 23 percentage points of win probability to the Marlins' cause before the offense put the game away in the final frame.