Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Kansas City Royals handed the Colorado Rockies a lopsided 10-1 defeat at Coors Field on July 7, 2024, a result that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Colorado win at 0%, down from a 36% pre-game home win probability. The game turned decisively in the second inning when Maikel Garcia launched a home run off Tanner Gordon, a swing the DiamondIQ model identified as the single most impactful play of the contest at plus 10.8% win probability. Kansas City went on to score four runs in that frame, and the Rockies never mounted a meaningful response, finishing with just six hits against a Royals pitching staff that allowed one run over nine innings.
Brady Singer was the central figure on the mound, accumulating a game-high plus 22.3% win probability added as he systematically neutralized Colorado's lineup. Three of the five biggest win-probability swings in the game came directly at his hands: a flyout by Jacob Stallings in the second costing Colorado 6.0% win probability, a Charlie Blackmon strikeout in the third draining another 5.3%, and back-to-back groundouts into double plays by Stallings in the fourth and Nolan Jones in the fifth, each erasing roughly 7% of Colorado's dwindling chances. Those plays compounded the damage done in the second and effectively closed the competitive window before the game reached its midpoint.
Among position players, Garcia led all batters with a plus 10.0% win probability added and a plus 3.0 RE24, anchoring Kansas City's offensive output from the top of the lineup. Michael Toglia contributed plus 7.6% win probability added to support the cause, while Ryan McMahon posted plus 6.2% on the other side for Colorado despite the team's lopsided loss. Kansas City added two more runs in the eighth and three in the ninth to complete the 12-hit, zero-error performance, a clean and dominant road win by every measure the DiamondIQ model tracks.