New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

The New York Mets quieted PNC Park on July 6, 2024, defeating the Pittsburgh Pirates 5-2 in a game that was largely decided by the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model entered with a 52 percent home win probability favoring Pittsburgh, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly the Mets controlled the contest. New York finished with 11 hits against just two errors, while Pittsburgh managed only six hits and committed none of their own.

The turning point arrived in the third inning when Luis Torrens laced a double off Dennis Santana, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 23.7 percent in the Mets' favor and served as the single most consequential play of the game. Torrens finished as the top performer on either side, posting a plus 28.3 percent WPA and plus 2.8 RE24 on the night. Pittsburgh answered in the fourth when Oneil Cruz launched a home run off David Peterson, a plus 19.3 percent swing that briefly gave the Pirates life, and Cruz ended at plus 15.3 percent WPA alongside Bryan Reynolds, who matched that figure. The Mets extinguished any remaining Pittsburgh momentum in the sixth, when Jose Iglesias doubled off Ryder Ryan for a plus 14.9 percent WPA boost that pushed the lead to 5-2. The seventh inning sealed the outcome quietly, as Reed Garrett retired Jack Suwinski on a strikeout and Ke'Bryan Hayes on a lineout, plays that collectively drained 22.3 percent from Pittsburgh's dwindling win probability. On the mound, Jose Butto led all pitchers with a plus 13.3 percent WPA, with Garrett and Dedniel Nunez providing critical late support.