Chicago White Sox at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Miami Marlins 3-2 on July 5, 2024, at loanDepot park, handing the home side a loss despite the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate giving Miami a 60% chance of winning. The White Sox built their margin gradually, scoring in the second, fourth, and fifth innings before holding off a late Marlins push to secure the road victory.
The decisive sequence came in the top fourth, when Martín Maldonado doubled off Roddery Muñoz in a play that shifted win probability by plus 12.0 percentage points in Chicago's favor, followed by Nicky Lopez's double off Muñoz in the fifth that added another 9.4 points. Those two hits proved central to Chicago's cushion. Miami made it tense in the ninth, when Bryan De La Cruz singled off Michael Kopech to claw back 10.1 percentage points, but the threat was extinguished when Josh Bell grounded out to end the game — a play the DiamondIQ model registered as a 21.4-point swing in Chicago's favor, effectively closing the door on any Marlins comeback. De La Cruz had earlier been the losing side's biggest missed opportunity, as his lineout in the seventh off John Brebbia represented a 14.5-point swing against Miami.
Among the standout performers, Drew Thorpe led all players by a wide margin with a plus 33.6% WPA contribution from the mound, anchoring the White Sox pitching effort. Offensively, Nicky Lopez finished with the top batting WPA at plus 12.7% and a RE24 of plus 1.5, reflecting his direct run-creation impact over his plate appearances. Josh Bell and Jazz Chisholm Jr. each contributed plus 7.4% WPA on the offensive side, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate reaching 0% for Miami by game's end.