San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| ATL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants handed the Atlanta Braves a 4-2 defeat at Truist Park on July 4, 2024, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate that placed Atlanta's win probability at 60%. The Giants did their damage in two concentrated bursts, scoring three runs in the fourth inning and one in the sixth, while holding the Braves to a pair of runs that proved insufficient against San Francisco's pitching staff.
The decisive sequence came in the top of the fourth, when Heliot Ramos connected for a home run off Charlie Morton that swung the DiamondIQ model's win probability by 17.3 percentage points in San Francisco's favor. Matt Chapman followed with his own home run off Morton in the same inning, adding another 11.6-point swing. Chapman continued to inflict damage on Morton in the sixth with a double worth 8.0 percentage points of win probability, pushing the Giants' lead to 4-0 at that point. Atlanta's best chance to claw back came in the bottom of the sixth, when a Marcell Ozuna groundout into a double play off Logan Webb collapsed the Braves' window by 11.8 points, and Camilo Doval closed the door in the ninth as Adam Duvall's strikeout secured the final out with an 11.6-point positive swing for San Francisco.
Ramos finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-19.3 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Chapman posted plus-17.7 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.3 across his multi-hit performance. On the mound, Logan Webb was the clear standout, contributing plus-27.1 percentage points of win probability, supported by Tyler Rogers at plus-13.3 and Grant Holmes at plus-12.1 as San Francisco's bullpen held Atlanta scoreless after the second inning.