MLB Recap · July 3, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

LAA0
Final
OAK5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA000000000051
OAK02001200-5100

The Story

The Oakland Athletics handed the Los Angeles Angels a 5-0 shutout at Oakland Coliseum on July 3, 2024, with all five runs coming in the second, fifth, and sixth innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with a nearly even split, placing Oakland's home win probability at 48 percent, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent as Angels starter Davis Daniel struggled to contain the Oakland lineup across the middle frames.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the second, when JJ Bleday's at-bat ended with a runner thrown out on the bases, a play that still swung win probability 11.5 percent in Oakland's favor and signaled the Athletics were manufacturing pressure. Daniel could not escape the inning without surrendering two runs. The damage compounded in the fifth, when Max Schuemann launched a home run off Daniel for an 8.7 percent win-probability swing, pushing Oakland's cushion deeper. Brent Rooker added a home run in the sixth, another 4.9 percent swing against Daniel, effectively closing the door on any Angel comeback. On the other side, Luis Rengifo grounded into a double play in the fourth, a minus-8.7 percent swing for Los Angeles, and that sequence illustrated how thoroughly the Angels neutralized themselves when opportunities arose against Joey Estes.

Estes was the story for Oakland's pitching staff, finishing with a model-leading plus-28.8 percent WPA contribution as he navigated the Angels lineup all night and held them to five hits with that one error. Among hitters, Bleday led Oakland position players with plus-8.7 percent WPA, followed by Schuemann at plus-6.5 percent and a plus-1.0 RE24, the best run-context figure among the game's top performers. Willie Calhoun provided the Angels' lone bright spot by WPA, posting plus-6.2 percent on a fifth-inning single off Estes, but that moment generated little lasting damage in a game Oakland controlled from the third inning onward.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalOAK win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

JJ Bleday Runner Out
Bot 2nd · off Davis Daniel
+11.5%
Max Schuemann Home Run
Bot 5th · off Davis Daniel
+8.7%
Luis Rengifo Grounded Into DP
Top 4th · off Joey Estes
-8.7%
Brent Rooker Home Run
Bot 6th · off Davis Daniel
+4.9%
Willie Calhoun Single
Top 5th · off Joey Estes
+4.8%

Top Batters by WPA

JJ Bleday+8.7%-0.6 RE24
Max Schuemann+6.5%+1.0 RE24
Willie Calhoun+6.2%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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