Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
| COL | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Colorado Rockies 4-3 at Coors Field on July 2, 2024, in a game that remained tightly contested before unraveling for Colorado in the final innings. The Brewers entered as heavy underdogs by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, which placed the Rockies' pre-game win probability at 71%, yet Milwaukee steadily eroded that advantage and closed it to zero by the final out. Colorado scored twice in the second inning to take an early lead, but the Brewers answered with a run of their own that frame and added another in the seventh to knot the game before the decisive ninth-inning sequence.
The single most impactful moment of the game came in the top of the ninth, when Rhys Hoskins was hit by a pitch from Justin Lawrence, a play that swung win probability 36.7 percentage points in Milwaukee's favor. That sequence continued as Christian Yelich singled off Nick Mears for a 15.3-point swing and Brice Turang drew a walk from Mears adding another 15.2 points, with the Brewers ultimately pushing two runs across to take a 4-2 lead. Colorado mounted a response in the bottom of the ninth, with Brenton Doyle's double off Bryan Hudson having already added 16.6 points to the Rockies' cause in the eighth, but Elias Díaz's strikeout against Trevor Megill in the ninth swung 27.0 points back toward Milwaukee and sealed the outcome.
By the WPA ledger, Hoskins finished as the game's top batting contributor at plus-33.3%, while Díaz posted plus-32.0% despite his strikeout being scored from Colorado's perspective as a loss. Doyle's 20.7% mark reflected his consistent presence in the heart of the Rockies' late push. On the pitching side, Ryan Feltner led all pitchers with a plus-25.1% WPA in a strong outing for Colorado, and Milwaukee's Jalen Beeks contributed plus-10.6% out of the bullpen. The DiamondIQ model leans toward the Brewers' late-inning execution as the defining factor in their ability to flip what appeared to be a difficult road game into a 4-3 victory.