Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

The Oakland Athletics defeated the Los Angeles Angels 7-5 on July 2, 2024, at Oakland Coliseum, turning what the DiamondIQ model had projected as a near-even contest — a 46 percent pre-game home win probability — into a decisive outcome the model eventually assigned 100 percent certainty.

The game's critical sequence arrived in the bottom of the fourth inning, when the Athletics sent Oakland in front with a decisive two-homer burst against Angels starter José Soriano. Lawrence Butler's home run shifted win probability by plus-23.1 percent, the single largest swing of the night, and Brent Rooker followed with a blast of his own for an additional plus-11.8 percent swing, putting Oakland up 4-0 with a commanding advantage the Angels never fully erased. Los Angeles chipped away with a run in the fifth, highlighted by Jo Adell's single off Mitch Spence that nudged the Angels' chances by plus-4.4 percent, but Oakland answered with three more runs in the bottom of the sixth, anchored by Brett Harris's double off José Marte for another plus-6.6 percent swing. A Zach Neto ground into double play in the top of the sixth, costing Los Angeles 5.4 percent in win probability, further illustrated the Angels' inability to sustain any momentum against Oakland's pitching staff.

Butler finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-21.7 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.4, while Rooker added plus-12.7 percent and Brandon Drury contributed plus-4.8 percent on the offensive side. On the mound, Mitch Spence was Oakland's most valuable arm, posting plus-15.2 percent WPA, with Tyler Ferguson and Hans Crouse each contributing positively in relief. Despite out-hitting Oakland eleven to seven, the Angels could not overcome the damage done in those two pivotal innings.