Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| SF | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 10 | 16 | 0 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants handled the Los Angeles Dodgers decisively on June 30, 2024, at Oracle Park, winning 10-4 in a game that was never particularly close after the early innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the evening giving the Giants a 41% chance of winning at home, but that estimate climbed steadily throughout the night and reached 100% by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly San Francisco controlled the contest. The Giants scored in five of their nine innings at bat and finished with 16 hits against no errors, while the Dodgers committed two errors of their own and managed just 8 hits.
The game's decisive stretch came in the second and third innings, where the Giants built a cushion that the Dodgers never threatened to erase. In the bottom of the second, Heliot Ramos reached on a groundout that shifted win probability 8.0 points in San Francisco's favor off James Paxton, and Jorge Soler followed with a double that added another 7.8 points. The Giants added a run in the third on a David Villar double off Paxton worth 5.9 points of win probability, then buried the game in the fourth with a five-run inning that included another Ramos double, this one worth 4.4 points. On the Dodgers' side, Gavin Lux's groundout in the top of the second against Spencer Bivens was the single most damaging moment for Los Angeles, costing 6.5 points of win probability and helping extinguish any early offensive momentum.
Individually, Ramos was the model's top performer on the night, finishing with a WPA of plus-13.5% and an RE24 of plus-1.2, driving the game's two highest-leverage positive swings. Soler was close behind at plus-10.6% WPA and plus-2.0 RE24, with his second-inning double standing as the game's second-most impactful offensive play. Villar added plus-8.2% WPA and plus-1.1 RE24 to round out San Francisco's top contributors at the plate. On the mound, Spencer Bivens was the model's clear standout, contributing plus-19.9% WPA as he limited the Dodgers' offense through the bulk of his outing.