MLB Recap · June 29, 2024

Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

COL3
Final
CWS11

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
COL010020000340
CWS00002306-11120

The Story

The Chicago White Sox rolled past the visiting Colorado Rockies 11-3 on June 29, 2024, at Guaranteed Rate Field in a game that was not particularly close once the middle innings unfolded. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 48 percent home win probability for Chicago, a near-even contest, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent as the White Sox built an insurmountable lead through a series of punishing home runs against Rockies starter Cal Quantrill.

The game's decisive sequence ran through the fifth and sixth innings. Colorado briefly grabbed momentum in the top of the fifth when Nolan Jones delivered a home run off Jonathan Cannon, a swing that added 18.9 percent to the Rockies' win probability. The White Sox answered immediately in the bottom half when Lenyn Sosa went deep off Quantrill, a blow worth 19.7 percent in win probability that erased Colorado's brief lift. The sixth inning effectively closed the door: Paul DeJong launched a home run against Quantrill for the game's single largest win-probability swing at plus 23.3 percent, and Luis Robert Jr. followed with another long ball off the same pitcher for an additional 14.8 percent swing. Any lingering hope Colorado harbored evaporated in the top of the seventh when Michael Toglia grounded into a double play, costing the Rockies 11.8 percent in win probability against Tanner Banks. The White Sox sent eight runs across in the combined fifth and eighth innings to finish with 11 runs on 12 hits.

Sosa and DeJong headlined the Chicago offensive effort, each posting a WPA of plus 21.7 and plus 19.2 percent respectively, with identical RE24 marks of plus 2.1. Jones was the lone bright spot for Colorado, finishing with a WPA of plus 17.9 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.5, though his individual contributions were overwhelmed by the White Sox's collective output. On the pitching side, Steven Wilson was Chicago's most valuable arm per the DiamondIQ model, contributing plus 15.2 percent in WPA out of the bullpen.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalCWS win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 48.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Paul DeJong Home Run
Bot 6th · off Cal Quantrill
+23.3%
Lenyn Sosa Home Run
Bot 5th · off Cal Quantrill
+19.7%
Nolan Jones Home Run
Top 5th · off Jonathan Cannon
+18.9%
Luis Robert Jr. Home Run
Bot 6th · off Cal Quantrill
+14.8%
Michael Toglia Grounded Into DP
Top 7th · off Tanner Banks
-11.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Lenyn Sosa+21.7%+2.1 RE24
Paul DeJong+19.2%+2.1 RE24
Nolan Jones+17.9%+1.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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