Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 5-3 at Oracle Park on June 28, 2024, in a game that remained scoreless through four innings before exploding with decisive moments in the final frames. The DiamondIQ model opened with San Francisco holding a 41 percent pre-game win probability, a figure that climbed to 100 percent by the final out. The Giants' pitching staff, anchored by Logan Webb, largely kept Los Angeles in check, and San Francisco's timely hitting proved the difference in what became a back-and-forth late contest.
The scoring began in the fifth inning, when Gavin Lux's double off Webb gave Los Angeles an early advantage, swinging win probability 14.4 percent in the Dodgers' favor. San Francisco answered in the sixth when Matt Chapman delivered a home run off Daniel Hudson, a swing worth 25.7 percent in win probability that shifted momentum toward the home side. The Dodgers' prospects dimmed further in the seventh when Lux grounded into a double play against Webb, costing Los Angeles 13.2 percent in win probability. The ninth inning produced the game's most dramatic sequence: Andy Pages ripped a triple off Camilo Doval worth 30.7 percent, briefly reviving Los Angeles, but Brett Wisely answered immediately with a walk-off home run off Blake Treinen in the bottom half, a blow worth 28.4 percent that sealed the outcome.
By the DiamondIQ model's estimates, the three most impactful individual performances belonged to Pages, Wisely, and Chapman. Pages finished at plus 28.5 percent WPA despite his team's loss, his triple representing the game's single largest positive swing. Wisely led all Giants at plus 27.3 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus 1.4, his home run the decisive blow. Chapman contributed plus 18.3 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 0.8. On the pitching side, Webb led all arms at plus 15.9 percent WPA, his work against Lux in the seventh proving particularly consequential, while Tyler Rogers added plus 10.8 percent in relief support.