MLB Recap · June 25, 2024

Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

OAK5
Final
LAA7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK002010020590
LAA00050110-792

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Oakland Athletics 7-5 on June 25, 2024, at Angel Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model entering the game assigning the Angels a 60 percent home win probability and closing at 100 percent. The decisive stretch came in the bottom of the fourth inning, where Los Angeles erased a 2-0 Oakland deficit with a five-run outburst that effectively flipped the contest. Mickey Moniak's home run off Mitch Spence was the single most impactful play of the game, adding 22.2 percent win probability in the Angels' favor, while a hit by pitch to Zach Neto in that same frame contributed an additional 11.6 percent swing as Los Angeles built its cushion.

Oakland mounted a threat in the top of the eighth, but the inning collapsed around a sequence involving Ben Joyce. A walk issued to Daz Cameron provided the Athletics a momentary 14.4 percent win-probability boost, yet JJ Bleday immediately followed by grounding into a double play, a swing of negative 18.3 percent that effectively ended any realistic path back for Oakland. Tyler Nevin had earlier given the Athletics life in the third with a hit by pitch off Tyler Anderson, a play worth 9.2 percent win probability, but the offense could not sustain enough pressure.

Among the top individual performers by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, Mickey Moniak led all batters with a WPA of plus 18.7 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.2, while Armando Alvarez contributed plus 14.3 percent WPA and plus 1.9 RE24 to the Angels' cause. Tyler Nevin paced Oakland's contributors at plus 11.4 percent WPA. On the mound, Hunter Strickland, Carlos Estévez, and Luis García each added between 5.0 and 6.4 percent win probability for Los Angeles, preserving the two-run final margin and closing out the Angels' fourth-inning advantage.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalLAA win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 59.9% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Mickey Moniak Home Run
Bot 4th · off Mitch Spence
+22.2%
JJ Bleday Grounded Into DP
Top 8th · off Ben Joyce
-18.3%
Daz Cameron Walk
Top 8th · off Ben Joyce
+14.4%
Zach Neto Hit By Pitch
Bot 4th · off Mitch Spence
+11.6%
Tyler Nevin Hit By Pitch
Top 3rd · off Tyler Anderson
+9.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Mickey Moniak+18.7%+2.2 RE24
Armando Alvarez+14.3%+1.9 RE24
Tyler Nevin+11.4%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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