MLB Recap · June 22, 2024

Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

MIN10
Final
OAK2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIN17100010010160
OAK110000000241

The Story

The Minnesota Twins routed the Oakland Athletics 10-2 at Oakland Coliseum on June 22, 2024, turning what the DiamondIQ model estimated as a 36 percent pre-game home win probability for Oakland into a zero percent finish. Minnesota posted seven of its ten runs in the second inning alone, effectively ending the contest before the game reached the midpoint.

The decisive stretch came in that second inning, where Manuel Margot delivered the defining blow of the night. His home run off JP Sears swung win probability by plus 9.2 percent, and a subsequent groundout-into-double-play situation added another plus 7.0 percent in a favorable sequence off Osvaldo Bido. Jose Miranda contributed a double off Sears that shifted the model's estimate by plus 4.1 percent. Oakland's best chance to respond came in the bottom half of the second, but Zack Gelof's strikeout against Bailey Ober collapsed the Athletics' probability by 8.0 percent, snuffing out any momentum. An inning earlier, Brent Rooker's flyout to end the bottom of the first had already cost Oakland plus 3.3 percent.

Margot finished as the game's standout performer with a cumulative WPA of plus 16.1 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.7, while Miranda added plus 5.9 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.4. On the pitching side, Bailey Ober earned a plus 5.8 percent WPA contribution in holding Oakland to two runs across the game, supported by Sean Newcomb and T.J. McFarland who each registered a neutral 0.0 percent. Minnesota's 16-hit, zero-error performance against Oakland's four hits and one error told the full story of a thoroughly one-sided afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalOAK win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 36.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Manuel Margot Home Run
Top 2nd · off JP Sears
+9.2%
Zack Gelof Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Bailey Ober
-8.0%
Manuel Margot Grounded Into DP
Top 2nd · off Osvaldo Bido
+7.0%
Jose F Miranda Double
Top 2nd · off JP Sears
+4.1%
Brent Rooker Flyout
Bot 1st · off Bailey Ober
+3.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Manuel Margot+16.1%+1.7 RE24
Jose F Miranda+5.9%+1.4 RE24
Brent Rooker+4.3%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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