MLB Recap · June 19, 2024

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

LAD6
Final
COL7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD0400200006101
COL3001002017100

The Story

The Colorado Rockies erased a four-run deficit to defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers 7-6 on June 19, 2024, at Coors Field, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model had assigned just a 29 percent chance of success before first pitch. Colorado scored three runs in the first inning, surrendered four in the second, then methodically clawed back over the final frames, ultimately winning on a walk-off sacrifice fly in the ninth. The decisive swing came from Brenton Doyle in the bottom of the ninth off Yohan Ramírez, a play that added 16.9 percent to Colorado's win probability and ended the game. The Rockies finished with seven runs on ten hits and committed no errors, while the Dodgers left ten hits on the ledger alongside one error and a season-defining missed opportunity.

Adael Amador was the most impactful offensive performer of the night, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-24.0 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.7. His double off Daniel Hudson in the bottom of the seventh added 14.0 percent to Colorado's win probability and represented the pivotal moment that shifted control of the game. Jason Heyward supplied the Dodgers' most consequential hit, a double off Ryan Feltner in the top of the fifth that added 19.3 percent to Los Angeles's win probability and temporarily gave the visitors renewed momentum, finishing with a WPA of plus-19.8 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.6. Elehuris Montero also contributed positively for Colorado with a WPA of plus-15.6 percent.

On the mound, Colorado's bullpen ultimately secured the victory, with Jalen Beeks leading all pitchers at plus-13.5 percent WPA. Beeks induced a flyout from Miguel Rojas in the top of the ninth, a play that swung win probability by negative 10.9 percent against Los Angeles and effectively closed the door on the Dodgers' final threat. Blake Treinen and Jake Bird also contributed positively for Colorado, adding 10.9 and 10.6 percent respectively. The DiamondIQ model's estimate reached 100 percent certainty by the final out, a stark contrast to the 29 percent probability Colorado carried into the evening.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalCOL win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 29.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jason Heyward Double
Top 5th · off Ryan Feltner
+19.3%
Brenton Doyle Sac Fly
Bot 9th · off Yohan Ramírez
+16.9%
Adael Amador Double
Bot 7th · off Daniel Hudson
+14.0%
Sean Bouchard Groundout
Bot 1st · off Bobby Miller
+11.9%
Miguel Rojas Flyout
Top 9th · off Jalen Beeks
-10.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Adael Amador+24.0%+1.7 RE24
Jason Heyward+19.8%+1.6 RE24
Elehuris Montero+15.6%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →