Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The Houston Astros defeated the Chicago White Sox 4-1 at Guaranteed Rate Field on June 19, 2024, collecting 12 hits while Chicago managed 8. The DiamondIQ model's estimate gave the White Sox a 33% chance of winning before first pitch, a number that fell to zero by the final out as Houston controlled the game with steady offensive production and strong pitching contributions.
The decisive swings in win probability came in the middle innings. In the top of the third, Chas McCormick's double off Garrett Crochet moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate by plus 10.4%, though Cooper Hummel's fielder's choice out immediately gave back 10.1% of that ground. Houston extended its lead in the fourth when César Salazar singled off Crochet, a play that shifted win probability by plus 13.0% and proved to be the single largest positive swing of the game for either side. Chicago's best moment came in the bottom of the fourth when Andrew Benintendi launched a home run off Hunter Brown, moving White Sox win probability by plus 11.3%, but a Gavin Sheets double play in the fifth, also off Brown, erased that momentum with a minus 13.0% swing that effectively closed the door on a Chicago comeback.
Salazar finished as the game's most impactful offensive player by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a plus 23.5% WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.0 to lead all batters. Benintendi followed at plus 9.5% WPA and Korey Lee added plus 8.6%. On the mound, Hunter Brown led Houston's staff with a plus 11.1% WPA despite surrendering the Benintendi home run, with Bryan Abreu contributing plus 8.8% and Ryan Pressly adding plus 5.2% as the bullpen secured the final outs.