Detroit Tigers at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

The Atlanta Braves defeated the Detroit Tigers 2-1 at Truist Park on June 18, 2024, a tightly contested game that was decided by first-inning run production and ultimately sealed by strong pitching performances on both sides. Atlanta scored both of its runs in the bottom of the first inning and never relinquished the lead, while Detroit managed just a single run across nine innings against a Braves staff that held firm in critical moments. The DiamondIQ model opened with Atlanta at a 63% win probability, a figure that climbed to 100% by the game's conclusion.

The most consequential sequence for Detroit came in the top of the sixth, when Riley Greene laced a triple off Spencer Schwellenbach that shifted win probability by plus 10.5%, followed by a Gio Urshela single worth another plus 7.3%, providing the Tigers their lone run and briefly applying pressure. However, Schwellenbach and the Braves staff absorbed the threat without further damage. In the eighth inning, Marcell Ozuna's strikeout against Will Vest added plus 7.8% in win probability to Atlanta's ledger, a significant defensive moment that extended the Braves' grip. Detroit's best late opportunities dissolved in the ninth when Justyn-Henry Malloy struck out against Raisel Iglesias, a play carrying a minus 7.1% swing that effectively ended any realistic comeback path.

Among the game's standout contributors, Raisel Iglesias led all pitchers with plus 15.2% WPA, closing out the game emphatically, while Spencer Schwellenbach posted plus 14.3% WPA despite allowing Detroit's lone run. Beau Brieske added plus 11.2% WPA in relief. Offensively, Marcell Ozuna paced Atlanta's batters at plus 6.3% WPA, with Mark Canha close behind at plus 6.0%, and Riley Greene led Detroit at plus 2.6% WPA despite the Tigers' inability to convert his efforts into a victory.