St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins walked off the St. Louis Cardinals 9-8 in ten innings on June 18, 2024, at loanDepot park, erasing a pre-game win probability of just 37% according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate to finish at 100% following a chaotic final frame. The Cardinals had pushed across a run in the top of the tenth to take an 8-7 lead, but Miami answered with two runs in the bottom half to seal the comeback victory. The game was competitive throughout, with both clubs trading runs early — St. Louis scoring two in each of the first three innings and Miami responding — before the offenses quieted from the fifth inning through the ninth.

The decisive sequence unfolded in the bottom of the tenth against Cardinals reliever Chris Roycroft, who was unable to protect the slim lead. Tim Anderson opened the rally with a single that added 23.7 percentage points to Miami's win probability. Nick Gordon followed with another single worth 35.4 percentage points, and then Vidal Bruján delivered the biggest swing of the night, a walk-off single that shifted win probability by 35.9 points and ended the game. On the pitching side, Calvin Faucher had done his part to set up the opportunity, retiring Michael Siani on a strikeout and Brandon Crawford on a flyout in the top of the tenth, each preserving critical leverage for the Marlins.

Bruján led all position players with a WPA of plus-35.9% and a RE24 of plus-0.9, while Gordon and Brandon Crawford each finished at plus-24.5% WPA, with Crawford posting the stronger run-environment figure at plus-1.3 RE24. Among pitchers, Kyle Leahy paced the Miami staff at plus-16.1% WPA, followed by Tanner Scott at plus-13.5% and Andrew Nardi at plus-10.6%, a trio that collectively kept the Cardinals at bay long enough for the offense to finish the job. The final line showed Miami collecting 15 hits to St. Louis's 10, with each team committing one error across the ten-inning contest.