Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Los Angeles Angels 6-3 at Angel Stadium on June 18, 2024, holding a lead from the first inning and never relinquishing it. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had the Angels at just a 35% chance of winning before first pitch, a figure that steadily eroded until it reached 0% by game's end. Milwaukee plated runs in the first, second, fourth, and sixth innings, while Los Angeles managed only a three-run ninth against a Brewers bullpen that had long secured the outcome. The Angels committed three errors, compounding their inability to generate early offense against Tobias Myers.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the fourth inning, when Jackson Chourio delivered a double off Griffin Canning that swung win probability by 21.1 percentage points in Milwaukee's favor. That single swing represented the largest win-probability shift of the game and served as the pivot point from which Los Angeles never recovered. The Angels had two opportunities to claw back in the third inning, but Christian Yelich's ground into a double play cost Milwaukee 5.7 percentage points, and Rhys Hoskins was caught stealing home, a play that subtracted another 4.0 points from the Brewers' win probability. Nolan Schanuel offset some of that Angels deficit with a third-inning double off Myers worth 4.5 points, though Luis Rengifo's groundout immediately dampened that threat.

Chourio finished as the game's most impactful offensive player with a total WPA of plus-24.9 and a RE24 of plus-3.0, while Sal Frelick added plus-5.4 WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.0 in support. On the mound, Tobias Myers was the standout performer of the evening, generating plus-17.3 WPA to anchor a Milwaukee pitching effort that kept the Angels' lineup largely in check until the final three outs. Enoli Paredes and Carson Fulmer followed without meaningful damage. Schanuel's plus-6.5 WPA was the lone bright spot for Los Angeles in an otherwise difficult night at the park.