Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 5-3 at Angel Stadium on June 17, 2024, overcoming a 36% pre-game win probability according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate to secure a comfortable home victory. Milwaukee struck first with a Jake Bauers home run off Zach Plesac in the second inning, a swing that added 7.7% win probability for the Brewers and briefly gave them the lead. Los Angeles answered emphatically in the third, where Luis Guillorme's triple off Carlos Rodriguez proved to be the turning point of the game, shifting win probability by 15.3% in the Angels' favor and helping Los Angeles plate three runs in the frame. The Angels extended their advantage in the fourth when Zach Neto launched a home run, also off Rodriguez, adding another 18.6% in win probability and effectively putting the game out of reach.

The Brewers mounted no serious threat in the late innings, and the seventh inning further cemented the outcome as Blake Perkins and Brice Turang both struck out against Luis García, costing Milwaukee 11.0% and 9.1% in win probability respectively and extinguishing any realistic comeback opportunity. By game's end, the DiamondIQ model's estimate had reached 100% in favor of Los Angeles. Guillorme led all batters with a WPA of plus 17.5% and a RE24 of plus 1.8, while Neto contributed plus 15.1% WPA and plus 1.5 RE24. On the mound, Zach Plesac paced the pitching staff with a WPA of plus 9.8%, followed by Matt Moore at plus 8.1% and García at plus 7.2%, as the Angels bullpen held Milwaukee scoreless across the final seven innings after surrendering two runs early.