New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
The Story
The New York Yankees handed the Boston Red Sox an 8-1 defeat at Fenway Park on June 14, 2024, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Boston win from 34 percent before first pitch to zero percent by the final out. New York struck early with a two-run first inning and added insurance in the fourth and fifth before a three-run ninth put the game fully out of reach. Boston finished with five hits and committed two errors against the Yankees' clean ten-hit, zero-error performance.
The fourth inning was the pivot point of the game, and the DiamondIQ model captured that clearly through win-probability swings. Enmanuel Valdez gave Boston its most significant positive moment of the night with a double off Luis Gil that shifted win probability 13.6 percent in the Red Sox's favor, representing the single largest play of the game. However, Dominic Smith's strikeout to end that same half-inning swung things 9.0 percent back toward New York, capping Boston's best scoring chance without meaningful damage. On the other side of the fourth, Oswaldo Cabrera reached on a Boston fielding error off Brayan Bello worth 7.9 percent in Yankees win probability, though Gleyber Torres then grounded into a double play that briefly blunted the threat. Alex Verdugo's double leading off the fifth added another 8.4 percent swing in New York's favor and helped extend the lead.
Among individual performers, Valdez led all position players by WPA at plus-17.2 percent despite playing for the losing side, reflecting how consequential his fourth-inning double was in isolation. Anthony Rizzo posted plus-10.7 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24 for New York, while Alex Verdugo contributed plus-7.3 percent WPA and led all batters with a plus-3.6 RE24, indicating he did his damage in high-leverage run-expectancy situations. On the mound, Luis Gil was the model's top-ranked pitcher at plus-12.4 percent WPA, successfully navigating the Red Sox's fourth-inning threat to preserve New York's advantage, with Caleb Ferguson adding plus-7.3 percent WPA in relief.