Chicago White Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks handled the Chicago White Sox decisively at Chase Field on June 14, 2024, winning 7-1 behind a steady offensive performance that effectively ended the contest by the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Arizona as a 77% favorite before the first pitch, and that number climbed to 100% by the final out as the Diamondbacks built an insurmountable lead against White Sox starter Chris Flexen.

The game's decisive stretch came in the second through fourth innings, where Arizona did the bulk of its damage off Flexen. In the second, Randal Grichuk delivered a double that added 6.4% to Arizona's win probability, keying a two-run frame. The Diamondbacks added another run in the third on a Lourdes Gurriel Jr. single, the game's single biggest positive swing at +8.4% win probability. Arizona then put the game away in the fourth when Eugenio Suárez hit a home run off Flexen, a blow worth +8.0% in win probability that capped a three-run inning and pushed the Diamondbacks to a 6-1 advantage. Chicago's best opportunity to apply early pressure dissolved in the bottom of the first when Joc Pederson flew out with runners on base, a play that shifted win probability by -6.8% against the White Sox.

Gurriel finished as the game's top performer by WPA, posting a +10.3% total with a +0.7 RE24, while Suárez was close behind at +9.2% WPA and led all batters with a +1.1 RE24, reflecting his run-producing efficiency throughout the night. On the Chicago side, Lenyn Sosa graded out as the most impactful White Sox player at +7.2% WPA, though his -0.3 RE24 indicated limited run-environment contribution. Arizona's relief corps, led by Justin Martinez at +1.4% WPA, held things firmly in place through the final innings as the Diamondbacks closed out the comfortable six-run victory.