MLB Recap · June 14, 2024

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

TEX2
Final
SEA3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TEX200000000251
SEA20100000-380

The Story

The Seattle Mariners defeated the Texas Rangers 3-2 at T-Mobile Park on June 14, 2024, in a game that was effectively decided in the opening inning. Seattle and Texas traded two runs apiece in the first, and the Mariners added what proved to be the decisive run in the third, after which neither club scored again across the final six innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Seattle at 63% and closed at 100%, a reflection of how thoroughly the Mariners' pitching staff locked down the Rangers through the middle and late innings.

The most consequential sequence of the night came in the top of the ninth, when Texas mounted a final threat against Ryne Stanek. Wyatt Langford opened the inning with a double that shifted win probability by plus 13.7 percentage points, the single largest swing of the game, giving the Rangers a brief pulse. Stanek responded by retiring Josh Smith on a pop out and Ezequiel Duran on a groundout, each costing Texas 10.9 percentage points, before Nathaniel Lowe grounded out to end the threat, a swing of minus 7.1 points. The Rangers stranded Langford and finished 2-for-5 with an error on the night. In the eighth, Tyler Locklear's flyout off José Ureña added 6.9 points of win probability to Seattle's side, keeping pressure off the late-inning situation.

Among the key performers, Luis Castillo led all pitchers with a plus 18.5% WPA, while Ryne Stanek's three-up, three-down ninth added 15.2 percentage points and Andrés Muñoz contributed plus 10.8. At the plate, Mitch Garver paced the Mariners with a plus 6.8% WPA and a team-high 2.2 RE24, and Langford's ninth-inning double made him Texas's lone standout at plus 7.2% WPA despite the Rangers' inability to capitalize.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TEX bats firstFinalSEA win %TEX win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62.9% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Wyatt Langford Double
Top 9th · off Ryne Stanek
+13.7%
Josh Smith Pop Out
Top 9th · off Ryne Stanek
-10.9%
Ezequiel Duran Groundout
Top 9th · off Ryne Stanek
-10.9%
Nathaniel Lowe Groundout
Top 9th · off Ryne Stanek
-7.1%
Tyler Locklear Flyout
Bot 8th · off José Ureña
+6.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Wyatt Langford+7.2%+0.8 RE24
Mitch Garver+6.8%+2.2 RE24
Tyler Locklear+5.7%-0.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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