MLB Recap · June 14, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

LAA8
Final
SF6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA0134000008110
SF0001000506101

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the San Francisco Giants 8-6 at Oracle Park on June 14, 2024, overcoming a pre-game forecast that gave San Francisco a 63 percent chance of winning according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. The Angels built their lead methodically through the early innings, scoring once in the second and three more times in the third, then adding another run in the fourth to take a 4-1 advantage into the middle frames. The Giants mounted a dramatic five-run rally in the bottom of the eighth to pull within two, briefly making the final moments tense, but Los Angeles held on to secure the two-run victory.

The pivotal swings of the game came in bunches during the eighth inning. Heliot Ramos delivered the biggest blow of the frame, a home run off Roansy Contreras that added 13.6 percent to San Francisco's win probability and brought the Giants surging back into contention. That momentum was quickly undercut, however, when Matt Chapman grounded into a double play against the same pitcher, a sequence that swung win probability 14.4 percent back toward Los Angeles and effectively stalled the rally. Earlier in the game, Kevin Pillar's double in the top of the third off Spencer Howard had added 11.4 percent to the Angels' chances and helped fuel their three-run inning. In the bottom of the second, Austin Slater's forceout against Tyler Anderson cost the Giants 8.5 percent in win probability, an early sign that San Francisco would struggle to generate timely offense.

The individual performance leaders told a clear story about how the Angels controlled the game. Tyler Anderson led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-18.7 percent, anchoring the Los Angeles effort on the mound. On the offensive side, Michael Conforto finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-15.9 percent with a RE24 of plus-0.9, his ninth-inning strikeout as a batter carrying 14.4 percent of win probability as Carlos Estévez closed out the Giants. Kevin Pillar contributed plus-14.4 percent WPA alongside a RE24 of plus-0.9, while Ramos led all batters with a RE24 of plus-2.8 despite the Giants ultimately falling short. The DiamondIQ model's estimate closed at zero percent for San Francisco, reflecting how thoroughly the Angels neutralized the late comeback attempt.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalSF win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 63.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Michael Conforto Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Carlos Estévez
+14.4%
Matt Chapman Grounded Into DP
Bot 8th · off Roansy Contreras
-14.4%
Heliot Ramos Home Run
Bot 8th · off Roansy Contreras
+13.6%
Kevin Pillar Double
Top 3rd · off Spencer Howard
+11.4%
Austin Slater Forceout
Bot 2nd · off Tyler Anderson
-8.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Michael Conforto+15.9%+0.9 RE24
Kevin Pillar+14.4%+0.9 RE24
Heliot Ramos+12.7%+2.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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