MLB Recap · June 13, 2024

Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

WSH2
Final
DET7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
WSH000100100250
DET00100150-7100

The Story

The Detroit Tigers defeated the Washington Nationals 7-2 at Comerica Park on June 13, 2024, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Detroit win from 55 percent before first pitch to a certainty by the final out. The Tigers built their advantage incrementally, with Mark Canha's single off Patrick Corbin in the bottom of the third registering a 10.4 percent win-probability swing, before the game broke open decisively in the seventh inning when Detroit plated five runs to put Washington away for good.

The seventh inning defined the contest from a win-probability standpoint. Joey Meneses briefly gave Washington hope with a double off Shelby Miller in the top half, a swing worth plus 9.8 percent in win probability that narrowed the gap momentarily. Detroit answered emphatically in the bottom half, with Andy Ibáñez delivering a double off Derek Law that swung win probability by 16.0 percent, the single largest play of the game. Riley Greene followed with a single off Robert Garcia worth another 8.9 percent, completing the inning that effectively ended any Washington comeback threat.

Ibáñez finished as the game's top batter by WPA, posting a plus-20.5 percent mark alongside a RE24 of plus-1.7. Justyn-Henry Malloy was equally impactful, contributing a home run off Derek Law in the sixth inning worth 15.2 percent in win probability and finishing the night at plus-18.2 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus-2.5. On the pitching side, Patrick Corbin led all pitchers with a plus-16.6 percent WPA figure, with Casey Mize adding plus-15.3 percent in support of the Tigers' dominant performance.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025WSH bats firstFinalDET win %WSH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 55.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Andy Ibáñez Double
Bot 7th · off Derek Law
+16.0%
Justyn-Henry Malloy Home Run
Bot 6th · off Derek Law
+15.2%
Mark Canha Single
Bot 3rd · off Patrick Corbin
+10.4%
Joey Meneses Double
Top 7th · off Shelby Miller
+9.8%
Riley Greene Single
Bot 7th · off Robert Garcia
+8.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Andy Ibáñez+20.5%+1.7 RE24
Justyn-Henry Malloy+18.2%+2.5 RE24
Joey Meneses+15.0%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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