Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins defeated the Oakland Athletics 6-2 on June 13, 2024, at Target Field, a result that aligned closely with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 70 percent home win probability, which ultimately climbed to 100 percent by the final out. Minnesota collected 13 hits against Oakland's 4, committing no errors in a clean, dominant performance. The Twins scored in four separate innings — the second, third, seventh, and ninth — while Oakland managed both of its runs in the top of the second.

The game's decisive sequence began in the bottom of the second inning, when Byron Buxton singled off Luis Medina for a swing of plus-14.0 percent in win probability, the single largest play of the contest. Before that swing could fully settle, Oakland had briefly grabbed the lead on a Tyler Soderstrom home run off Joe Ryan in the top of the second, a plus-7.7 percent play for the Athletics. But Zack Gelof's strikeout to close that same half-inning added plus-8.4 percent back to Minnesota's favor. Carlos Correa then took over as the most impactful bat of the night, delivering a plus-9.7 percent single off Medina in the bottom of the third and punctuating the evening with a home run off Sean Newcomb in the bottom of the seventh for an additional plus-12.6 percent.

Correa finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-22.1 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.7, while Buxton posted plus-19.0 percent and led all players with a RE24 of plus-3.0. On the pitching side, Joe Ryan led Minnesota's staff with a plus-10.3 percent WPA contribution, with Vinny Nittoli adding plus-3.3 percent and Griffin Jax plus-1.9 percent in support. The DiamondIQ model leans toward the Twins having controlled this game from the earliest innings, with their combination of run prevention and timely hitting proving decisive against an Oakland offense that never recovered after the second inning.