MLB Recap · June 13, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

LAA1
Final
AZ11

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA000100000160
AZ30100061-1190

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks routed the Los Angeles Angels 11-1 at Chase Field on June 13, 2024, a result the DiamondIQ model tracked from a 63 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Arizona scored in the first, third, seventh, and eighth innings, with the decisive damage coming in a six-run seventh that turned a competitive enough early game into a rout. The Angels, meanwhile, managed just one run across nine innings on six hits, and their offensive inefficiency was captured sharply by Nolan Schanuel's two grounded-into-double-plays, which were the two single biggest win-probability swings of the game, costing Los Angeles 9.0 percent in the seventh inning off Kevin Ginkel and 7.2 percent in the third off Brandon Pfaadt.

Christian Walker was the central offensive force for Arizona, homering twice off Griffin Canning to account for the two largest positive win-probability plays on the board. His first-inning home run added 5.1 percent to the Diamondbacks' win probability, and his third-inning shot added another 6.7 percent, giving him a combined WPA of plus-11.1 and a RE24 of plus-2.8 on the night. Mickey Moniak provided the lone bright moment for the Angels, posting a plus-6.7 percent WPA and plus-1.1 RE24 on a fourth-inning single off Pfaadt, while Michael Stefanic contributed a plus-6.1 percent WPA of his own.

Brandon Pfaadt was the story on the mound, producing a game-high plus-16.3 percent WPA for Arizona, suppressing the Angels throughout his outing despite yielding Moniak's single. Kevin Ginkel added plus-5.0 percent in relief, benefiting directly from Schanuel's seventh-inning double play that effectively ended any remaining hope of an Angels rally. Paul Sewald finished the night at plus-0.0 percent WPA, a quiet appearance in a game that had long since been decided.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalAZ win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 63.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Nolan Schanuel Grounded Into DP
Top 7th · off Kevin Ginkel
-9.0%
Nolan Schanuel Grounded Into DP
Top 3rd · off Brandon Pfaadt
-7.2%
Christian Walker Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Griffin Canning
+6.7%
Mickey Moniak Single
Top 4th · off Brandon Pfaadt
+5.8%
Christian Walker Home Run
Bot 1st · off Griffin Canning
+5.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Christian Walker+11.1%+2.8 RE24
Mickey Moniak+6.7%+1.1 RE24
Michael Stefanic+6.1%-0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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