MLB Recap · June 12, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

LAA8
Final
AZ3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA1114010008140
AZ000000012360

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels handed the Arizona Diamondbacks an 8-3 defeat at Chase Field on June 12, 2024, building their lead incrementally before pulling away decisively in the fourth inning. The DiamondIQ model had opened the game with Arizona holding a 62 percent pre-game win probability, but the Angels methodically dismantled that advantage, scoring at least one run in each of the first four innings and adding another in the sixth to finish with 14 hits against no errors.

The fourth inning proved to be the critical turning point, as Jo Adell's home run off Slade Cecconi swung win probability 9.3 percent in the Angels' favor, the single most impactful positive play of the game for Los Angeles. Cecconi had already been under pressure in the third, where Willie Calhoun's single contributed a 7.6 percent swing, while Arizona's own opportunities evaporated — Jake McCarthy grounded out in the second inning against José Soriano in a spot that cost the Diamondbacks 8.8 percent in win probability. Kevin Pillar's pop out in the third, also against Cecconi, represented the largest single swing of the night at 10.2 percent, snuffing out a potential Angels rally and illustrating how tightly the middle innings were contested before the game ultimately tilted.

On the individual leaderboard, Adell finished as the top offensive contributor with a WPA of plus-8.6 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.5, followed closely by Calhoun at plus-7.7 percent and Luis Guillorme at plus-7.5 percent. The pitching story belonged entirely to José Soriano, who posted a commanding plus-25.4 percent WPA, keeping Arizona's lineup largely in check and ensuring the Angels' early run support held. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of Arizona's win probability finished at zero percent, a reflection of how thoroughly Los Angeles controlled the contest from the opening inning forward.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalAZ win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Kevin Pillar Pop Out
Top 3rd · off Slade Cecconi
-10.2%
Jo Adell Home Run
Top 4th · off Slade Cecconi
+9.3%
Jake McCarthy Groundout
Bot 2nd · off José Soriano
-8.8%
Willie Calhoun Single
Top 3rd · off Slade Cecconi
+7.6%
Luis Guillorme Flyout
Top 2nd · off Slade Cecconi
+6.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Jo Adell+8.6%+1.5 RE24
Willie Calhoun+7.7%+0.3 RE24
Luis Guillorme+7.5%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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