MLB Recap · June 10, 2024

Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

COL0
Final
MIN5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
COL000000000061
MIN00110003-570

The Story

The Minnesota Twins blanked the Colorado Rockies 5-0 on June 10, 2024, at Target Field, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate anticipated from the start, placing the home side at a 71% pre-game win probability that climbed steadily to 100% by the final out. Colorado managed six hits but committed one error and never crossed the plate, while Minnesota's pitching staff controlled the game from the third inning onward.

The scoring opened in the bottom of the third when Manuel Margot doubled off Dakota Hudson, a swing that added 7.6% to Minnesota's win probability and put the Twins on the board first. Carlos Correa followed with the game's single largest positive play in the bottom of the fourth, a double also against Hudson that swung win probability by 8.6% and extended the lead to 2-0. Minnesota then put the game away in the bottom of the eighth, plating three more runs to reach the final margin of five. On the Colorado side, Ryan McMahon's grounded into double play in the top of the sixth off Chris Paddack cost the Rockies 7.0% in win probability, effectively closing off one of their better late opportunities to generate offense.

Chris Paddack led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 21.3%, making him the game's most impactful performer on the mound, while Dakota Hudson contributed plus 10.1% and Griffin Jax added plus 8.1% in support. Among position players, Correa finished with a WPA of plus 8.4% and an RE24 of plus 0.8, and Margot posted plus 6.9% WPA with a plus 0.5 RE24, making the two doubles the decisive offensive actions of the afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalMIN win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 71.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Carlos Correa Double
Bot 4th · off Dakota Hudson
+8.6%
Manuel Margot Double
Bot 3rd · off Dakota Hudson
+7.6%
Ryan McMahon Grounded Into DP
Top 6th · off Chris Paddack
-7.0%
Carlos Santana Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Dakota Hudson
-6.0%
Royce Lewis Groundout
Bot 1st · off Dakota Hudson
-5.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Carlos Correa+8.4%+0.8 RE24
Manuel Margot+6.9%+0.5 RE24
Trevor Larnach+3.4%-0.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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