Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| OAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Toronto Blue Jays defeated the Oakland Athletics 6-4 in ten innings on June 9, 2024, at Oakland Coliseum, erasing a deficit that lingered into extras and winning a game the DiamondIQ model had given Oakland a 43 percent chance of taking before first pitch. The Blue Jays scored three runs in the top of the tenth to pull away, finishing with seven hits and no errors against Oakland's seven hits and no errors of their own. Oakland had briefly taken control with a run in the sixth and two more in the seventh, the latter coming on a Abraham Toro single off Trevor Richards that shifted win probability 16.2 percent in the Athletics' favor, representing the high-water mark of Oakland's late-game push.
The tenth inning belonged almost entirely to Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Daulton Varsho. Kiner-Falefa's double off Austin Adams was the single most consequential play of the game, swinging win probability 36.4 percent in Toronto's direction, and Varsho followed by being hit by a pitch from Adams for an additional 23.2 percent swing. Those two events in sequence effectively ended Oakland's chances. Kiner-Falefa finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-35.9 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.5, while Varsho contributed plus-27.3 percent WPA. Oakland's Brent Rooker grounded out in the bottom of the tenth in a sequence that actually added 14.4 percent win probability for the Athletics, reflecting how much Toronto's half-inning had compressed the margins, but Génesis Cabrera and the Blue Jays held on.
On the pitching side, Bowden Francis led all pitchers with a plus-18.0 percent WPA contribution, followed by Mitch Spence at plus-16.6 percent and Oakland's Mason Miller at plus-13.5 percent. Yimi García's strikeout of Max Schuemann to end the ninth added 14.0 percent to Toronto's win probability, preserving what became the platform for the decisive extra-inning rally. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of Oakland's win probability fell from 43 percent at game start to zero percent by the final out.