MLB Recap · June 8, 2024

Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

MIN0
Final
PIT4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIN000000000062
PIT00000013-4100

The Story

The Pittsburgh Pirates shut out the Minnesota Twins 4-0 on June 8, 2024, at PNC Park, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate beginning as a near coin flip at 51 percent in favor of the home side before finishing at 100 percent as Pittsburgh's offense and pitching combined to leave Minnesota without a run across nine innings. The Twins finished with six hits and committed two errors, while the Pirates collected ten hits and played a clean game defensively.

The game remained scoreless through six innings before Rowdy Tellez broke it open with a solo home run off Simeon Woods Richardson in the bottom of the seventh, a swing that added 17.1 percent to Pittsburgh's win probability according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Tellez was not finished — in the bottom of the eighth he added a single off Jhoan Duran that pushed his win probability contribution even further, carrying an 18.1 percent positive swing that helped Pittsburgh plate three more runs in the inning and effectively close out Minnesota for good. On the other side of the ledger, Minnesota repeatedly squandered chances, with Jose Miranda grounding into a double play in the top of the seventh at a cost of 12.2 percent, Byron Buxton doing the same in the fifth at minus 9.5 percent, and Trevor Larnach turning in an identical result in the third at minus 7.6 percent against Luis Ortiz.

Tellez finished as the game's most impactful offensive player with a combined WPA of plus 28.4 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.8, while Willi Castro added plus 7.3 percent and Yasmani Grandal contributed plus 5.6 percent. Luis Ortiz was equally dominant on the mound, generating plus 26.6 percent in win probability added to lead all pitchers, with Simeon Woods Richardson and Colin Holderman adding plus 13.6 and plus 10.8 percent respectively. The DiamondIQ model leans toward Pittsburgh's performance as the product of timely hitting and efficient pitching that stifled a Twins lineup unable to capitalize on its opportunities.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalPIT win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 50.9% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Rowdy Tellez Single
Bot 8th · off Jhoan Duran
+18.1%
Rowdy Tellez Home Run
+17.1%
Jose F Miranda Grounded Into DP
Top 7th · off Justin Bruihl
-12.2%
Byron Buxton Grounded Into DP
Top 5th · off Luis Ortiz
-9.5%
Trevor Larnach Grounded Into DP
Top 3rd · off Luis Ortiz
-7.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Rowdy Tellez+28.4%+1.8 RE24
Willi Castro+7.3%+0.4 RE24
Yasmani Grandal+5.6%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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