Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| PIT | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The Pittsburgh Pirates defeated the Minnesota Twins 3-0 at PNC Park on June 7, 2024, holding Minnesota to eight hits while collecting just four of their own. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a near-even 49 percent home win probability, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent, reflecting a methodical Pittsburgh performance that left the Twins without a single run.
The game's most consequential sequence arrived in the fifth inning, where the DiamondIQ model's estimates shifted sharply in Pittsburgh's favor. Royce Lewis struck out against Mitch Keller in a swing that cost Minnesota 9.0 percent in win probability, the single largest play of the contest. A Carlos Correa single briefly pushed that probability back 8.5 percent in the Twins' direction, representing one of the few genuine threats Minnesota could muster, but Max Kepler's strikeout to follow surrendered 7.3 percent and effectively ended the inning's promise. Pittsburgh's offense added its own decisive moments through Oneil Cruz, whose second-inning home run off Joe Ryan generated a 7.4 percent win-probability swing, and Connor Joe, who added an insurance run with a home run off Griffin Jax in the eighth worth 6.4 percent.
Mitch Keller was the game's dominant performer by a considerable margin, generating 28.8 percent in win probability added to lead all players in the contest. Colin Holderman contributed 8.1 percent and Aroldis Chapman added 7.2 percent as Pittsburgh's bullpen secured the shutout. Oneil Cruz and Carlos Correa each posted identical lines of plus 1.1 RE24 at the plate, though Cruz's 8.2 percent cumulative WPA edged Correa as the more impactful offensive contributor on the day.