Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| CWS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | 7 | 8 | 2 |
The Story
The Chicago White Sox defeated the visiting Boston Red Sox 7-2 on June 7, 2024, at Guaranteed Rate Field, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Chicago home win from 28% before first pitch to 100% by the game's end. Chicago scored the decisive blows in the fourth inning, erasing a 2-0 Boston deficit built in the third and turning the game decisively in their favor. The White Sox plated three runs in the fourth, with Oscar Colás delivering a single off Cooper Criswell that swung win probability by 15.9 percentage points, immediately followed by Paul DeJong's single off the same pitcher for an additional 15.3-point swing. Those two plays alone represented the sharpest back-to-back probability shifts of the contest and effectively settled the outcome.
Boston's best moment came in the top of the third, when a fielding error off Garrett Crochet allowed Jarren Duran to reach base, a play that shifted win probability 15.1 points in Boston's favor and staked the Red Sox to their short-lived 2-0 lead. That lead evaporated quickly, and the only notable negative swing for Chicago came in the top of the second, when Garrett Cooper struck out against Crochet with what appeared to be runners in a position to score, costing Boston 9.7 points of win probability. Gavin Sheets added a home run off Greg Weissert in the sixth for an 8.0-point swing, capping an active night that left him as Chicago's top WPA contributor at plus-18.9, with a RE24 of plus-1.4.
Crochet was the dominant force on the pitching side, finishing with a WPA of plus-19.6, the highest single-player figure in the game, underscoring how thoroughly he neutralized Boston's lineup when the game remained in question. Paul DeJong finished with the best RE24 among position players at plus-2.0, while Colás posted plus-1.2 alongside his plus-16.5 WPA. Jonathan Cannon contributed plus-4.8 WPA in relief to help close things out, and Chicago's 7-2 final was a thorough outcome for a team the DiamondIQ model had initially given little better than one-in-four odds of winning.