MLB Recap · June 7, 2024

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

LAD2
Final
NYY1

Line Score

Team1234567891011RHE
LAD00000000002241
NYY00000000001151

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the New York Yankees 2-1 in eleven innings at Yankee Stadium on June 7, 2024, overcoming a 62 percent pre-game home win probability assigned by the DiamondIQ model to claim the road victory. Neither team scored through the first ten innings, setting up an extra-inning finish that swung dramatically on a handful of decisive moments. The game remained scoreless deep into regulation, a testament to dominant pitching on both sides, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto leading all pitchers with a win-probability contribution of plus-43.4 percent for Los Angeles.

The decisive blow came in the top of the eleventh when Teoscar Hernández laced a double off Ian Hamilton, a swing that added 49.8 percent to the Dodgers' win probability and stood as the single most impactful play of the game. Hernández finished as the top positional contributor with a plus-43.2 percent WPA and plus-1.7 RE24. New York mounted a response in the bottom half, with Aaron Judge singling off Yohan Ramírez to add 15.9 percent to the Yankees' win probability, and Judge ended the game with a plus-23.3 percent WPA and a team-best plus-1.9 RE24. Anthony Rizzo's pop out in that same inning, however, swung 27.0 percent back toward Los Angeles, effectively closing the door on the rally.

The Yankees had their best earlier chance in the bottom of the eighth, where Giancarlo Stanton's flyout off Blake Treinen cost New York 14.3 percent in win probability, and Anthony Volpe's flyout in the tenth off Michael Grove added 14.0 percent momentarily before the frame ended without a run. Michael Tonkin and Clay Holmes also contributed positively for Los Angeles, adding 15.9 and 13.5 percent respectively. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of New York's win probability fell from 62 percent before first pitch to zero percent by game's end.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalNYY win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Top 11th · off Ian Hamilton
+49.8%
Anthony Rizzo Pop Out
Bot 11th · off Yohan Ramírez
+27.0%
Aaron Judge Single
Bot 11th · off Yohan Ramírez
+15.9%
Bot 8th · off Blake Treinen
-14.3%
Anthony Volpe Flyout
Bot 10th · off Michael Grove
+14.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Teoscar Hernández+43.2%+1.7 RE24
Aaron Judge+23.3%+1.9 RE24
Anthony Rizzo+14.3%-1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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