Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - | 7 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Chicago Cubs defeated the Chicago White Sox 7-6 on June 4, 2024, at Wrigley Field in a game that swung dramatically across the final three innings. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened at a 78 percent home win probability before the first pitch, and while Chicago's South Siders threatened to upend that projection, the Cubs ultimately pushed the figure to 100 percent by the final out.
The White Sox seized the initiative in the fourth inning, when a Paul DeJong fielder's choice off Shota Imanaga generated a +17.6 percent win-probability swing and helped Chicago build a 5-0 lead that briefly reframed the contest. The Cubs began chipping away in the sixth, where Patrick Wisdom's home run off Tanner Banks added +27.1 percent to Chicago's win probability and ignited a four-run frame that brought the Cubs within striking distance. Luis Robert Jr. answered in the seventh with a solo home run off Hayden Wesneski, a +17.0 percent swing that pushed the White Sox back in front at 6-5. The decisive moment arrived in the bottom of the eighth, when Ian Happ doubled off Jordan Leasure to produce the game's single largest win-probability shift at +34.9 percent, putting the Cubs ahead for good. White Sox catcher Corey Julks ended any rally hopes with a pop out against Héctor Neris in the ninth, a -15.7 percent swing that closed the door.
Happ finished as the game's top performer by WPA at +39.6 percent with a +2.2 RE24, while Wisdom contributed +25.5 percent and a +1.7 RE24. DeJong led all White Sox batters at +20.9 percent WPA. On the mound, Chris Flexen paced all pitchers with a +25.5 percent WPA, supported by Héctor Neris at +15.2 percent and John Brebbia at +9.7 percent as the Cubs bullpen preserved the one-run victory.