San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | 4 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Angels defeated the San Diego Padres 4-2 at Angel Stadium on June 4, 2024, handing San Diego a loss despite a clean fielding performance from both sides. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Angels a 42 percent chance of winning at home, a figure that climbed steadily before reaching 100 percent by the final out. The game remained close through six scoreless innings between the two clubs before a pivotal three-run seventh inning for Los Angeles broke it open and effectively decided the outcome.
The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the seventh, where the Angels strung together the night's most consequential plate appearances. Zach Neto's double off Enyel De Los Santos carried the single largest win-probability swing of the game at plus 18.8 percent, and Jo Adell followed with a walk off Yuki Matsui that added another 10.5 percent to the Angels' chances. Those two plays alone reshaped a tight contest into a comfortable cushion. San Diego had briefly taken the lead in the third inning when Manny Machado singled off Patrick Sandoval, a hit worth plus 10.7 percent in win probability, but the Angels answered in the same frame on a Luis Rengifo single off Adam Mazur that added 10.1 percent going the other way. Rengifo's grounded into double play in the sixth, costing the Angels 10.2 percent, briefly stalled their momentum before the seventh-inning burst.
Among individual performers, Neto finished as the top positional contributor by WPA at plus 14.1 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.0, while Willie Calhoun posted plus 11.9 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.1. Machado led all Padres batters with plus 11.4 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.5 despite the loss. On the mound, Patrick Sandoval led all pitchers with plus 22.6 percent WPA, with Adam Mazur adding plus 13.8 percent in a strong showing for Los Angeles. The DiamondIQ model favors pitching-driven outcomes in low-scoring environments, and this game fit that profile closely until the Angels' seventh-inning surge settled the matter.