Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Cincinnati Reds routed the Colorado Rockies 13-3 at Coors Field on June 3, 2024, putting together an 18-hit performance that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Colorado victory dropping from a pre-game 44 percent all the way to zero. Cincinnati built its lead steadily through the early innings, then pulled away decisively with a third and fourth inning that collectively broke the game open and rendered the final six frames academic.

The decisive sequences came in the third and fourth innings, where the Reds landed the two biggest blows of the afternoon against starter Ryan Feltner. Jeimer Candelario connected for a home run in the top of the third that shifted win probability 19.6 percent in Cincinnati's favor, and Elly De La Cruz followed in the same frame with a double worth an additional 8.5 percent. Colorado answered briefly in the bottom half, as Brendan Rodgers hit a home run off Andrew Abbott that added 9.2 percent to the Rockies' win probability and Jacob Stallings added a run-scoring single worth 7.6 percent, but the deficit was already substantial. Will Benson then delivered the decisive blow in the fourth, a triple off Feltner that swung win probability another 20.4 percent toward Cincinnati and effectively closed the door on any Colorado rally.

Benson finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a WPA of plus-23.5 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.7. Candelario matched him closely at plus-18.9 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24, while Rodgers led Colorado with a WPA of plus-13.0 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.5 despite his team's lopsided loss. Cincinnati tacked on two more runs in the ninth to reach 13, a final margin that reflected a dominant road performance from wire to wire.