MLB Recap · June 2, 2024

Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

CWS3
Final
MIL6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS200100000350
MIL04000002-690

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Chicago White Sox 6-3 on June 2, 2024, at American Family Field, a result that tracked closely with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of an 85 percent home win probability, which ultimately climbed to 100 percent by the final out. Milwaukee seized control early and never relinquished it, building its advantage in two distinct bursts that effectively ended any realistic path to a White Sox comeback.

The decisive sequences came in the second and eighth innings. Jackson Chourio's second-inning home run off Nick Nastrini provided the game's single largest positive swing for Milwaukee, shifting win probability by 20.1 percent and capping a four-run frame that gave the Brewers a lead they would not surrender. On the other side of the ledger, Corey Julks hit into a double play off Enoli Paredes in the top of the eighth, a swing of negative 27.4 percent win probability for Chicago that extinguished any lingering hopes of a rally. Gary Sánchez then added a single off John Brebbia in the bottom half of the inning worth 17.7 percent, pushing the Brewers' two-run eighth-inning cushion to a commanding final margin.

Among individual performers, Chourio finished as the second-highest WPA contributor on the night at plus-18.4 percent with a RE24 of 2.5, reflecting his direct run-production impact. Tommy Pham led all batters at plus-20.1 percent WPA, while Gary Sánchez added plus-14.1 percent. On the mound, Enoli Paredes was the standout, posting a plus-31.2 percent WPA to lead all pitchers, with Tanner Banks contributing an additional plus-12.7 percent in support of the Milwaukee bullpen's lockdown effort.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalMIL win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 84.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Corey Julks Double Play
Top 8th · off Enoli Paredes
-27.4%
Jackson Chourio Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Nick Nastrini
+20.1%
Gary Sánchez Single
Bot 8th · off John Brebbia
+17.7%
Christian Yelich Groundout
Bot 1st · off Nick Nastrini
-13.6%
Oscar Colás Strikeout
Top 1st · off Freddy Peralta
+12.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Tommy Pham+20.1%+0.1 RE24
Jackson Chourio+18.4%+2.5 RE24
Gary Sánchez+14.1%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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