Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners defeated the Los Angeles Angels 5-1 on June 2, 2024, at T-Mobile Park, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's win probability estimate from a pre-game 73 percent in favor of Seattle to a final certainty of 100 percent. The game was largely a pitchers' duel through seven innings before Seattle broke it open with a four-run eighth, and the Angels managed their only run in the top of the ninth against what was already a settled outcome. Los Angeles finished with four hits and committed two errors, while Seattle collected five hits and one error.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the fourth, when Luke Raley launched a home run off Griffin Canning that shifted win probability 12.1 percentage points in Seattle's favor, standing as the single most impactful play of the game. Raley's contribution carried into the eighth inning, where his hit by pitch off Luis García added another 11.2 percentage points, helping to ignite the decisive four-run rally. Mitch Garver followed that inning with a double off García worth 8.7 percentage points, extending the lead and closing the door on any meaningful Angels comeback. On the negative side for Seattle, Ty France grounded into a double play in the fourth that cost the Mariners 8.5 percentage points, and Ryan Bliss's flyout in the second surrendered 8.1 percentage points, each moment briefly stalling Seattle's progress.

Raley finished as the game's top performer by a wide margin, accumulating a combined WPA of plus 24.6 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.3, while Garver contributed plus 7.2 percent WPA and plus 2.2 RE24. On the mound, Luis Castillo led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 26.7 percent, with Griffin Canning posting a strong plus 25.7 percent despite surrendering the Raley home run, and Ryne Stanek added plus 10.8 percent in relief support.