New York Yankees at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees defeated the San Francisco Giants 7-3 at Oracle Park on June 1, 2024, completing a decisive road victory that the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected clearly by the end — a pre-game home win probability of 34 percent collapsed to zero by the final out. New York scored twice in the first inning, traded a pair of runs with San Francisco in the third, and then put the game away emphatically with a three-run eighth to pull clear of a Giants team that could not sustain its brief moments of momentum.

The pivotal sequence came in the top of the eighth inning, where the Yankees did the bulk of their damage against reliever Ryan Walker. Alex Verdugo led off the inning with a triple that shifted win probability by 18.8 percentage points, the single largest swing of the game, and Giancarlo Stanton followed with a home run that added another 14.1 points to New York's advantage. Together those two plays off Walker effectively closed the door on any San Francisco comeback. On the Giants' side, Casey Schmitt had provided the most significant positive swing for the home team with a third-inning home run off Cody Poteet that moved the needle 13.7 points, and Brett Wisely and Heliot Ramos each contributed singles in the fifth to briefly close the gap, but the Giants finished with only five hits on the night.

Among individual performers, Verdugo finished as the game's most impactful batter with a combined WPA of plus-23.8 and an RE24 of plus-1.9, while Stanton added plus-13.6 WPA and a plus-1.2 RE24. Schmitt was San Francisco's top contributor at plus-11.5 WPA. On the pitching side, Logan Webb led Giants pitchers with a plus-10.3 WPA, though that reflected how long he kept the team in the game rather than a winning outcome, and Yankees relievers Caleb Ferguson and Ian Hamilton each recorded positive WPA figures of plus-9.7 and plus-7.9 respectively as New York closed out the final innings without incident.